Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | +12.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +11 (96-85). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cantrell | 37 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Montgomery | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| David Holston | 19 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 23 | - |
| M. Wilson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Wall | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Chukwumah | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Martin Jr. | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Stankovic | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Jones Jr | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Renelique | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Chitwood | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 28 | - |
| J. Heard | 35 | 12-20 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 30 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| P. Wayne | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| R. Haynes | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Townsend | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh Jenkins | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Miller | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Mels | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Therin Taylor | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Evan Scott | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter