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2007-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (6.5 off)
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen +15 (102-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Grafel 30 5-10 0-2 4-5 11 0 1 0 1 14 15 -
S. Logan 27 3-7 1-3 1-1 4 3 0 1 1 8 8 -
R. Paradise 22 6-12 4-8 2-4 3 1 3 0 7 18 6 -
J. Nichols 22 2-9 0-2 1-3 3 2 1 0 2 5 0 -
B. Rand 21 2-3 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 4 6 5 -
C. Yelder 18 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 8 -1 -
M. Hart 13 2-4 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
J. Landers 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 2 1 2 4 -
D. Anderson 11 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 0 3 0 1 9 6 -
S. Smith 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 -
N. Ervin 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Patton 6 1-2 1-2 3-5 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brower 29 6-8 2-3 2-2 7 2 1 1 3 16 16 -
G. Correia 27 2-3 2-3 1-2 4 6 0 0 3 7 11 -
R. Harris 26 6-12 2-4 6-6 6 2 3 0 4 20 15 -
G. Forbes 25 6-9 3-5 7-12 3 3 2 1 4 22 18 -
T. Gaffney 25 2-3 0-0 4-8 6 1 6 2 2 8 18 -
M. Groebe 15 2-6 0-4 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 5 -1 -
M. Glass 15 2-3 2-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
L. Bonner 14 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
D. Milligan 10 1-3 0-0 4-8 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
P. Lo 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
T. Lang 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Hill 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter