Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pigram | 35 | 11-23 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 12 | - |
| D. Twilley | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Tiggs | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Smith | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Reed | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Davis | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Mishler | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Swader | 15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Strong | 10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Hubbard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Hamlin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 35 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 18 | - |
| M. Johnson | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Wright | 28 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 25 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Binnie | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Thomas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Warren | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Searcy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter