Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.5% | 26.5% | -5.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.