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2007-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (1.6 off)
Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% -

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Jenkins 40 6-17 1-5 3-5 4 4 1 0 3 16 5 -
A. Smith 39 7-14 3-8 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 17 7 -
A. McLean 32 4-9 0-1 2-2 14 0 1 0 4 10 12 -
R. Porter 31 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
T. Bannister 26 1-5 1-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Ohman 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
J. Holland 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
R. Monroe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G. Lafser 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Layer 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell 39 5-11 0-1 11-16 5 6 0 0 3 21 18 -
H. Hernandez 33 3-9 0-1 0-0 8 3 3 0 1 6 10 -
E. Miller 32 2-7 2-4 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
D. O'Neil 32 5-10 0-3 1-2 5 2 3 0 3 11 8 -
A. Blair 27 4-6 0-0 0-3 10 0 0 2 2 8 12 -
B. Harvey 27 4-8 2-5 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
J. Tchana 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Golubovic 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter