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2007-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 (28.2 off)
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans -15 (81-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Pfohl 35 6-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 3 12 13 -
J. Florence 35 11-23 2-9 6-6 3 4 4 0 4 30 14 -
C. Henry 29 6-9 1-1 1-2 5 2 1 3 4 14 12 -
S. Aaron 23 5-10 2-5 1-2 1 0 3 1 1 13 7 -
B. Corley 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
M. Ellis 22 2-3 0-0 5-6 10 2 1 0 1 9 18 -
B. Mills 17 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 10 7 -
M. Hall 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
B. Walker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo 40 12-27 4-11 4-5 7 4 2 0 8 32 10 -
T. Gibson 37 4-12 0-0 5-10 14 1 1 1 5 13 13 -
A. Johnson 37 5-11 2-6 5-6 1 2 2 0 2 17 9 -
D. Lewis 36 6-13 1-4 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 15 4 -
R. Cromwell 18 0-0 0-0 2-6 2 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
K. Cunningham 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Wilkinson 11 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
R. Wetherell 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
K. Austin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter