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2007-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Sonoma State Seawolves Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 0.5% 99.5% -
Bradley-Terry 1.9% 98.1% -
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +37.5 (12.5 off)

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +25 (82-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sonoma State Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kochevar 34 7-11 4-6 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 21 11 -
B. Saunders 26 6-10 0-0 4-10 11 2 0 0 3 16 16 -
B. Washington 25 1-6 0-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 3 4 -1 -
T. Smith 21 0-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 0 1 -
K. Shandera 18 2-9 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 -3 -
G. Link 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 1 2 -
S. Cornett 15 3-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Flores 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
K. Garner 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Hughes 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. Nelson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D.J. Egeonuigwe 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Wright 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Noble 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Mills 26 5-8 2-3 5-5 1 5 4 0 3 17 16 -
D. Simpson 26 7-9 1-3 3-4 11 1 1 5 3 18 24 -
T. Smith 22 5-7 1-1 1-1 1 3 1 0 5 12 5 -
I. O'Leary 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 3 6 -
T. Golden 21 1-4 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
O. Samhan 20 5-9 0-0 2-3 8 3 1 1 2 12 14 -
Y. Smith 19 2-3 2-3 2-4 4 0 0 0 3 8 6 -
C. Hughes 15 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. McConnell 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Walker 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 2 1 -
D. Williams 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter