Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 29 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Durham | 29 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Johnson | 25 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Davis | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| P. Friesen | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Howard | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -8 | - |
| A. Zamora | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Blackshire | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 35 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Bailey | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Terry | 26 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 6-10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| M. Shaw | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Darger | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Adeife | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Roberson | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter