Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.6% | 19.4% | -7.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.