Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +29 (67-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnett | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Mosley | 30 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -2 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Ware | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Sanders | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Pride | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Powers | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Ball | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Weeden | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Bryce Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Dixon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Marciano | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Chisick | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Anderson | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Washington | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Maren | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Henke | 22 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Holland | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Hood | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Merriex | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Parker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. McLain | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Summerfield | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Fow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter