Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +11 (60-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Payne | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| T. Quinney | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Adepoju | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Marek | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Sorensen | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| O. Griego | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Josserand | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
| R. Roberts | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Clifford | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Baker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 38 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Clark | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Spraggins | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Stephens | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Wesley | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Bell | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Newbold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter