Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ito | 35 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Sikma | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| W. Thompson | 25 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 24 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| N. Raivio | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Watson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Knutson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Stohl | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Miller | 34 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| K. Bell | 33 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 6-11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| H. Hernandez | 32 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. O'Neil | 32 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 4-9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| B. Harvey | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Blair | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Golubovic | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| S. Taylor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Tchana | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter