Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.5 | ✗ (36.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +36 (75-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 40 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Creason | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Simmons | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| M. Walker | 29 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. McFarland | 24 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Woodard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Clayman | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rundles | 35 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 33 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Strait | 28 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Martin | 22 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Elgin-Taylor | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| K. Sharp | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Qvale | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Z. Graves | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Spurgetis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter