Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -7 (47-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Toppert | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Wills | 23 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J.R. Giddens | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Faris | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3 | - |
| D. Prentice | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Gary | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Harris | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pegues | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Higgins | 37 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Hall | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Roby | 33 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | - |
| X. Silas | 29 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Jackson-Wilson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. Knutson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. King-Stockton | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Thorne II | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter