Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -26 (64-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harris | 36 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 11-16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 13 | - |
| C. Lowe | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Brower | 31 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Gaffney | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| G. Forbes | 26 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Milligan | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Groebe | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Bonner | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Correia | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Lo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Glass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lang | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Hanson | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Whiten | 25 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | - |
| T. Clark | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Vance | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| L. Keeler | 17 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| T. Shelton | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Lewis | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Anderson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Manley | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Higgins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter