Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Shock -16 (92-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 37 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 18-18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 23 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 6-15 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| K. Miller | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Snell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 39 | 6-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Nolan | 38 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| S. Johnson | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Cash | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Braxton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Ford | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| I. Latta | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Powell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter