Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 39 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| K. Smith | 37 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P. Pierson | 25 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| S. Johnson | 23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Cash | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Powell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Snell | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter