Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 38 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| K. Smith | 36 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| C. Ford | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| P. Pierson | 22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 17 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| S. Cash | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E. Powell | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| I. Latta | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 39 | 7-15 | 3-11 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| T. Smith | 37 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 11 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter