Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✗ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Shock -28 (70-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 32 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 11-20 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 7 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 34 | 6-18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Smith | 23 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 18 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Ford | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Cash | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Powell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Latta | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Walker | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter