Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 36 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 30 | - |
| K. Miller | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 10-28 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Snell | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| O. Scott | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 40 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 12-16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| D. Nolan | 31 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Cash | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| P. Pierson | 24 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| K. Braxton | 18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | - |
| S. Johnson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| E. Powell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Latta | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter