Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (93-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 44 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| K. Douglas | 43 | 9-19 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 14 | - |
| L. Whalen | 40 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| N. Sales | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Dydek | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Carey | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 43 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 16-17 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 35 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 41 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. DeForge | 39 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 34 | 9-22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7 | - |
| S. Sam | 33 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| T. White | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter