Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -17 (84-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 8-18 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Snell | 8 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| S. Bird | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| I. Castro | 30 | 6-16 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| B. Lennox | 28 | 7-20 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| A. Robinson | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| T. Wright | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Gearlds | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| W. Palmer | 14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter