Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -2 (74-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 40 | 8-24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 36 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Coco Miller | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gillian Goring | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 37 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evanthia Maltsi | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
* = starter