Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -10 (72-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Crystal Smith * | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 29 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Erin Grant | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Shields | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Spencer * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Sherill Baker * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jessica Moore * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| LaToya Thomas | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tye'sha Fluker | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marta Fernandez | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Murriel Page | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter