Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (72-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tausha Mills * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Katie Mattera * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Johnson | 26 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyresa Smith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna DeForge * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tan White * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Sheri Sam | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alison Bales | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter