Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (100-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Page | 33 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Spencer | 33 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Baker | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Thomas | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Fernandez | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Thomas | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| T. Fluker | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 32 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 13-13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 30 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Snell | 14 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter