Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (97-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCarville | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| S. Christon | 35 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 11 | - |
| L. Moore | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| E. Thorn | 30 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Battle | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Willis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 34 | 13-18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 19 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter