Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -2 (79-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 28 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Newton * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 25 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Evanthia Maltsi | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter