Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +21 (95-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 26 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 28 | 9-18 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 26 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Megan Duffy | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Navonda Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter