Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -3 (93-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 35 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 9-17 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 6 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabika | 35 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Page | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Spencer | 27 | 3-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| K. Brown | 21 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Thomas | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Baker | 17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Fernandez | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Thomas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter