Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +5 (71-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noelle Quinn * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 21 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kathrin Ress | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Navonda Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loree Moore * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Erin Thorn * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Lisa Willis | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Martina Weber | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter