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2007-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Log Adjusted 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (86-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas * 39 6-11 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 12 10 -
I. Swann * 39 10-17 9-13 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 31 16 -
J. Rich * 31 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 1 1 7 9 -
A. Thornton * 22 6-10 1-2 3-9 6 0 3 2 5 16 12 -
U. Echefu * 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 0 -1 -
R. Reid 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 2 1 -
J. Allen 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Breeden 12 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Mims 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 34 3-12 1-5 9-11 6 7 3 0 5 16 15 -
D. Slater * 31 4-12 2-7 3-3 3 0 3 0 1 13 6 -
R. Delk * 23 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
C. Rhodes * 21 5-9 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 2 2 14 12 -
R. Delk * 19 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
B. Hansbrough 25 3-6 2-5 4-4 7 2 2 0 4 12 13 -
B. Stewart 25 3-7 1-4 3-3 3 1 5 0 0 10 12 -
J. Varnado 18 5-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 10 8 -
B. Begley 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
V. Goodridge 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
P. Stelmach 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Iupe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter