Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (86-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| I. Swann * | 39 | 10-17 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| J. Rich * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Thornton * | 22 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| U. Echefu * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Reid | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Allen | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Breeden | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Mims | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Slater * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| R. Delk * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Rhodes * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Delk * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Stewart | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Varnado | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Iupe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter