Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure * | 35 | 5-17 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| M. Abukar * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| L. Wade * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Habel * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| K. Spain | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Devendorf * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Nichols * | 31 | 7-18 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| T. Roberts * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Rautins * | 28 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Watkins * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| P. Harris | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Wright | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Gorman | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Presutti | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Bannister | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Burach | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter