Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure * | 38 | 11-21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 7 | - |
| J. Habel * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Williams * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Abukar * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Wade * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Spain | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ahearn * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | - |
| D. Richards * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Chaney * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| N. Bilyeu * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Laurie * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Laurie | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter