Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 1 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Snell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 36 | 4-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Dixon | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Smith | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Snow | 25 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 22 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Grant | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Byears | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Turner | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Hodges | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Shields | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter