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2007-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% -
Margin 62.5% 37.5% -2.8 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +12 (90-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hill * 39 8-12 0-0 3-5 14 3 0 2 3 19 23 -
W. Efejuku * 38 12-20 3-9 1-4 4 4 4 1 5 28 16 -
S. Curry * 35 3-9 2-5 2-2 0 3 3 0 5 10 2 -
G. McDermott * 34 1-2 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 0 4 2 5 -
J. Kale * 19 1-5 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
D. Williams 35 3-11 2-7 1-3 4 3 3 0 5 9 3 -
B. McKenzie 25 1-5 0-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Franklin * 41 9-16 1-3 4-4 5 5 3 0 3 23 17 -
D. Ruffin * 40 3-10 0-3 9-9 5 5 5 1 5 15 16 -
J.J. Tauai * 38 7-14 1-2 2-4 17 1 2 0 5 17 18 -
J. Crouch * 36 4-10 3-7 3-3 4 2 2 1 3 14 10 -
Z. Andrews * 19 2-6 0-0 6-6 8 2 2 1 3 10 14 -
M. Salley 23 3-5 0-0 3-6 5 1 2 2 1 9 13 -
D. Adams 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
A. Warren 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter