Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +18 (88-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Smith * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Shields | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armintie Herrington * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 21 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cathy Joens | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Claire Coggins | 15 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Liz Moeggenberg | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter