Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -4 (88-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruth Riley * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 32 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 19 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Camille Smith | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shanna Zolman | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kendra Wecker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 35 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter