Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -5 (73-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 31 | 16-25 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 20 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kathrin Ress | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Navonda Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 29 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Newton * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter