Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. DeForge | 33 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. White | 32 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 8 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 21 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Strother | 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Sam | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Bales | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 33 | 4-17 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter