Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -12 (64-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 40 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| S. Cash | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Nolan | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Pierson | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| E. Powell | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 20 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| I. Latta | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Tillis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milton-Jones | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Beard | 36 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| N. Sanford | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| N. Teasley | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Blue | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Koehn | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. James | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Mosby | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Goring | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter