Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -12 (64-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Katie Mattera * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Shannon Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Iciss Tillis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 37 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tamara James | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bernice Mosby | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gillian Goring | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Coco Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter