Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabika | 31 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Fernandez | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Spencer | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Baker | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Moore | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Page | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abrosimova | 34 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| S. Augustus | 28 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| N. Quinn | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Murphy | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Ress | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 13 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Mann | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Raymond | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter