Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Mabika | 29 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Fernandez | 25 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| M. Page | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Moore | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Spencer | 22 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Baker | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Penicheiro | 30 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| N. Powell | 27 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| R. Brunson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Lawson | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Newton | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Haynie | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter