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2007-07-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McWilliams-Franklin 32 4-11 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 1 1 11 10 -
M. Mabika 29 3-11 0-5 1-3 2 5 1 0 2 7 2 -
M. Fernandez 25 4-11 2-6 0-1 2 1 0 0 3 10 -1 -
M. Page 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Moore 23 4-6 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 1 0 9 13 -
S. Spencer 22 3-11 0-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
T. Johnson 12 1-2 1-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
C. Thomas 11 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 1 2 1 -
S. Baker 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 4 4 -
K. Brown 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Penicheiro 30 6-6 0-0 7-9 4 6 3 0 1 19 25 -
Y. Griffith 29 2-5 0-0 7-10 5 1 2 0 1 11 13 -
N. Powell 27 4-12 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 12 2 -
R. Brunson 25 1-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 1 3 8 -
K. Lawson 20 2-7 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Williams-Strong 17 2-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
S. Dorrell 13 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 2 0 1 3 3 -
L. Atkinson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 -
C. Newton 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
K. Haynie 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter