Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +2 (84-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 42 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Camille Smith | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shanna Zolman | 8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kendra Wecker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasity Melvin * | 43 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 29 | 10-17 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Cathy Joens | 18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stephanie Raymond | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Carla Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter