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Houston Comets 79
@
Connecticut Sun 81
2007-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 ✓ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - ✓

Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Thompson 34 5-14 2-3 6-6 7 1 0 0 0 18 12 -
T. Dixon 29 8-14 2-3 0-0 0 4 1 0 4 18 5 -
C. Smith 29 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
B. Turner 27 5-8 2-3 3-5 4 1 1 1 3 15 11 -
S. Lyttle 22 5-9 0-0 0-0 11 2 3 1 1 10 17 -
M. Snow 17 2-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
H. Maiga-Ba 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 4 7 -
E. Grant 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Shields 5 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Bass 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Maltsi 38 6-11 1-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 15 9 -
K. Douglas 37 8-19 4-10 5-6 6 4 2 0 4 25 14 -
L. Whalen 33 2-7 1-1 6-8 6 6 3 2 1 11 20 -
A. Jones 32 11-17 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 2 22 8 -
M. Dydek 25 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 4 2 6 11 -
J. Carey 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
K. Rasmussen 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
L. Willingham 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter