Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (81-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Crystal Smith * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 30 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Erin Grant | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ashley Shields | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanthia Maltsi * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 37 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 32 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter