Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (106-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abrosimova | 30 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| N. Quinn | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Mann | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Murphy | 14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Ress | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| N. Moore | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Raymond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 30 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 11-15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 9-20 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Snell | 13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter