Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +2 (89-87). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykal Riley * | 41 | 6-17 | 5-11 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 9 | - |
| B. Hollinger * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Jermareo Davidson * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Richard Hendrix * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 19 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Jemison | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Torrance | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lowe * | 42 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| R. Freeman * | 39 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Life * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Stephane Lasme * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 21 | - |
| D. Milligan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ricky Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Thomas | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Bonner | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Brower | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter